One thing to say, is this 45% probability changed secretly and failed 11 times in a row? This is the probability. . . .
Walking alone on a rainy night
I have failed more than 40 times in a row. The probability is estimated to be the upper limit of 45, and the lower limit is not written.
Sunshine fills the heart
The upper limit of success is 45%, and the lower limit of failure is 55%.