At the Future Investment Initiative Conference held in Saudi Arabia, SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son made a bold prediction: In the next decade, super artificial intelligence will appear ten thousand times higher than the intelligence of the human brain. This prediction has attracted widespread attention and is accompanied by huge controversy. Masayoshi Son elaborated on the huge investment, huge energy consumption and technical challenges required to achieve this goal, and analyzed the economic benefits and potential winners of the future AI industry, including his holdings of Arm and his opinion Underrated Nvidia. However, his past investment experience has also raised questions about the feasibility of this grand plan.
At the Future Investment Initiative Conference held in Saudi Arabia, SoftBank founder and CEO Masayoshi Son predicted that in the next decade we will see a super artificial intelligence that is ten thousand times higher than the intelligence of the human brain. But he also said that the realization of this technology will require huge capital investment.
Masayoshi Son mentioned that it takes about 400GW of computing center power to build this super artificial intelligence, a figure that exceeds the current total electricity supply in the United States. At the same time, 200 million chips are expected to be needed. The total investment in all this will reach $9 trillion. He said: "In the eyes of many people, such an investment is too large, but I think it is reasonable. $9 trillion is not too big, and it may even be too small."
Son believes that if this super artificial intelligence can create about $9 trillion in economic benefits every year, the initial investment is actually insignificant and can be gradually compensated through returns. He predicts that four companies will make trillions of profits, and he obviously hopes he can be one of them.
However, Masayoshi Son has adjusted his timeline to implement super artificial intelligence. In June this year, he predicted that the technology would appear within three to five years, believing that most of SoftBank's stake, Arm, would be one of the beneficiaries. However, this time he specifically mentioned that Nvidia will also become the winner in the future, and he bluntly stated that Nvidia's valuation has been underestimated.
Of course, Masayoshi Son's views are not without challenges. Building super artificial intelligence will face huge capital and electricity demands beyond the affordability of many countries. And what if he is wrong? After all, SoftBank has also experienced investment mistakes in the past.
For example, SoftBank invested billions of dollars in shared office company WeWork, but the value of the investment plummeted after the crazy statement from founder Adam Neumann, and the IPO was forced to stop, and Neumann eventually resigned. This makes people wonder whether SoftBank is facing new investment risks? However, Masayoshi Son is optimistic about this, saying that he is laying funds to deal with the construction of super artificial intelligence in the future. As one of the world's top wealthy people, his "money-saving" plan undoubtedly makes people feel that the cost of this future plan will be huge.
Key points:
SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son predicts that super artificial intelligence will appear 10,000 times smarter than humans in 2035.
Building super artificial intelligence requires $9 trillion, which is expected to create $9 trillion in economic benefits every year.
To realize super artificial intelligence requires 400GW of electricity and 200 million chips, exceeding the capabilities of many countries.
Masayoshi Son's prediction is undoubtedly full of ambitions, and its feasibility remains to be discussed. The $9 trillion investment and huge energy consumption all pose serious challenges to this goal. However, his optimism and firm belief in future technology have also injected new vitality and imagination into the field of artificial intelligence. Eventually, time will test whether his predictions are accurate.