Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei delivered a compelling warning at the Paris AI Action Summit: Artificial intelligence will reach the "genius country" level of intelligence in 2026 or 2027. This prediction highlights the severe challenges faced by the international community in artificial intelligence governance. Amodei criticized the slow progress of the summit and emphasized that democratic countries must maintain leadership in the field of artificial intelligence to deal with competition from authoritarian countries and prevent potential security risks and economic shocks. His remarks have sparked extensive discussions about artificial intelligence regulation, geopolitical competition, and international cooperation.
At the recent AI Action Summit in Paris, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei made a noteworthy speech. He warned that artificial intelligence will reach the level of intelligence equivalent to "a country of genius" by 2026 or 2027. This prediction has become one of the clearest predictions in the industry for future technological development.
Amodei criticized the Paris summit, calling it a "missed opportunity" and pointed out the slow progress of the international community in AI governance. His warning is at a critical moment, and the competition between democratic countries and authoritarian countries in the development of artificial intelligence is becoming increasingly fierce.
He stressed that democratic societies must maintain leadership in the field of artificial intelligence and prevent authoritarian countries from using this technology to establish military advantages around the world. Amodei's concerns not only involve geopolitical competition, but also include fragile links such as chip supply chain, semiconductor manufacturing and cybersecurity.
The summit revealed profound differences among the international community on artificial intelligence regulation. U.S. Vice President JD Vance rejected regulatory proposals in Europe, calling them "large and highly inhibitory." The United States and the United Kingdom also refused to sign relevant commitments to the summit, showing that it is becoming more difficult to reach a consensus on artificial intelligence governance.
Anthropic has always advocated transparency in artificial intelligence development. The company launched its economic index this week to track the impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market, a move that contrasts with the confidentiality of its competitors. The new move aims to address concerns that artificial intelligence may change the global employment landscape.
In his speech, Amodei emphasized three key issues: maintaining democratic countries’ leadership in artificial intelligence development, managing security risks, and preparing for economic transformation. He is particularly concerned about how to prevent non-state actors from abusing artificial intelligence and the autonomous risks of managing advanced systems.
Under Amodei's pressing timeline, AI governance faces huge challenges. His predictions suggest that by 2027, artificial intelligence will reach the genius level capability, and 2030 is the latest forecast time. This means that the current governance structure may not be able to effectively manage the next generation of artificial intelligence systems.
For technology leaders and policy makers, Amodei’s warning sets the AI governance framework as a race against time. The international community is under urgent pressure to establish effective control measures before artificial intelligence capabilities exceed our governance capabilities. The situation after the Paris summit has forced the technology industry and governments to face a fundamental challenge: how to balance unprecedented economic and scientific opportunities with equally unprecedented risks.
Key points:
Artificial intelligence is expected to reach the "genius country" level by 2026, Amodei warned.
Amodei criticized the Paris summit as a "missed opportunity" and called on the international community to accelerate the process of artificial intelligence governance.
The current governance structure may not be able to cope with the upcoming next-generation artificial intelligence systems and urgently needs to establish effective control.
Amodei's warning sounded the alarm for artificial intelligence governance. The international community needs to seek a balance between technological development and risk control and establish an effective global cooperation mechanism in order to meet the upcoming challenges.